Team ratings & trends
| # | Team | Rating | RF/g H | RA/g H | RF/g A | RA/g A | L10 | xwOBA form | Luck (R%−xwOBA%) | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dodgers | +1.55 | 4.47 | 4.00 | 5.79 | 3.46 | 6–4 | -2.8pp | +1.5pp | |
| 2 | Brewers | +1.35 | 5.20 | 3.46 | 4.90 | 4.23 | 6–4 | +0.9pp | -2.2pp | |
| 3 | Braves | +1.08 | 5.06 | 3.92 | 4.75 | 3.98 | 6–4 | -7.0pp | -0.3pp | xG form ↓ |
| 4 | Cubs | +0.93 | 5.19 | 4.50 | 5.24 | 4.29 | 7–3 | -1.7pp | +21.2pp | Running hot |
| 5 | Yankees | +0.92 | 4.78 | 4.29 | 4.59 | 3.47 | 7–3 | -0.2pp | -2.2pp | |
| 6 | Red Sox | +0.50 | 3.87 | 3.96 | 4.54 | 3.54 | 7–3 | +0.2pp | +4.0pp | |
| 7 | White Sox | +0.43 | 5.00 | 3.87 | 4.58 | 4.94 | 4–6 | +0.7pp | -2.0pp | |
| 8 | Rays | +0.43 | 4.71 | 3.84 | 4.21 | 4.33 | 7–3 | +4.1pp | +13.8pp | xG form ↑ Running hot |
| 9 | Pirates | +0.41 | 5.44 | 5.12 | 4.87 | 4.50 | 4–6 | -1.9pp | -5.7pp | |
| 10 | Tigers | +0.37 | 4.51 | 3.75 | 4.15 | 4.25 | 5–5 | +3.4pp | -3.1pp | xG form ↑ |
| 11 | Nationals | +0.35 | 5.28 | 5.89 | 5.67 | 4.46 | 6–4 | +2.3pp | +6.4pp | |
| 12 | Mariners | +0.08 | 4.00 | 3.38 | 4.07 | 4.51 | 5–5 | +2.3pp | -2.6pp | |
| 13 | Diamondbacks | +0.02 | 4.77 | 4.55 | 4.27 | 4.48 | 6–4 | +3.9pp | +3.3pp | xG form ↑ |
| 14 | Marlins | +0.01 | 4.28 | 3.70 | 4.56 | 5.08 | 3–7 | -0.5pp | -7.2pp | |
| 15 | Cardinals | -0.10 | 3.69 | 4.50 | 5.24 | 4.55 | 2–8 | +0.8pp | -11.6pp | Running cold |
| 16 | Phillies | -0.14 | 4.76 | 4.69 | 3.91 | 4.26 | 2–8 | -2.2pp | -3.2pp | |
| 17 | Guardians | -0.19 | 4.06 | 4.13 | 3.77 | 4.04 | 3–7 | +1.3pp | -8.8pp | Running cold |
| 18 | Padres | -0.22 | 3.75 | 4.04 | 4.62 | 4.67 | 7–3 | +6.6pp | +8.3pp | xG form ↑ Running hot |
| 19 | Rangers | -0.23 | 4.13 | 4.21 | 4.27 | 4.58 | 5–5 | -1.0pp | +5.1pp | |
| 20 | Orioles | -0.26 | 4.79 | 4.55 | 4.40 | 5.09 | 5–5 | +1.9pp | -6.7pp | |
| 21 | Twins | -0.30 | 4.58 | 4.47 | 4.94 | 5.55 | 5–5 | -0.6pp | -7.3pp | |
| 22 | Astros | -0.47 | 4.34 | 4.89 | 4.79 | 5.05 | 7–3 | -0.3pp | +3.3pp | |
| 23 | Mets | -0.51 | 4.45 | 4.71 | 3.78 | 4.46 | 5–5 | +2.3pp | +8.1pp | Running hot |
| 24 | Giants | -0.56 | 4.15 | 4.42 | 4.26 | 4.96 | 4–6 | -1.1pp | +7.4pp | |
| 25 | Blue Jays | -0.61 | 3.93 | 4.68 | 3.96 | 4.30 | 4–6 | -0.4pp | -8.2pp | Running cold |
| 26 | Reds | -0.70 | 4.00 | 4.71 | 4.28 | 4.80 | 6–4 | +0.3pp | -4.2pp | |
| 27 | Angels | -0.74 | 3.69 | 4.46 | 4.83 | 5.31 | 4–6 | -1.4pp | -6.3pp | |
| 28 | Royals | -0.98 | 4.75 | 4.94 | 3.64 | 5.22 | 6–4 | -3.0pp | -1.3pp | xG form ↓ |
| 29 | Rockies | -1.14 | 5.04 | 6.23 | 4.43 | 5.32 | 3–7 | -1.8pp | -3.0pp | |
| 30 | Athletics | -1.27 | 5.23 | 7.02 | 3.67 | 4.27 | 4–6 | -1.1pp | +2.0pp |
Rating = model-expected run margin vs a league-average opponent (home/away averaged). xwOBA form = last-10 team xwOBA share minus season share. Luck = last-10 run share minus expected (xwOBA) share; big positive values tend to regress.