Games
14
Games
57.1%
Winner accuracy
0.2710
Brier
57.1%
Home win rate
| Date | Matchup | Score | Pick | Win% | Pred margin | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Mar 31 | Rangers @ Orioles | 8–5 | Rangers | 72.4% | -2.07 | -3 | ✓ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Pirates @ Reds | 8–3 | Reds | 51.3% | +0.11 | -5 | ✗ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Nationals @ Phillies | 2–3 | Nationals | 94.8% | -5.64 | +1 | ✗ |
| Tue Mar 31 | White Sox @ Marlins | 2–9 | White Sox | 59.0% | -0.79 | +7 | ✗ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Rockies @ Blue Jays | 1–5 | Rockies | 60.5% | -0.93 | +4 | ✗ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Athletics @ Braves | 5–2 | Braves | 79.6% | +2.87 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Angels @ Cubs | 2–0 | Angels | 54.2% | -0.37 | -2 | ✓ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Rays @ Brewers | 2–6 | Brewers | 79.1% | +2.82 | +4 | ✓ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Mets @ Cardinals | 0–3 | Cardinals | 57.3% | +0.64 | +3 | ✓ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Red Sox @ Astros | 2–9 | Astros | 83.4% | +3.37 | +7 | ✓ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Tigers @ Diamondbacks | 5–7 | Diamondbacks | 63.2% | +1.17 | +2 | ✓ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Giants @ Padres | 9–3 | Giants | 66.0% | -1.44 | -6 | ✓ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Yankees @ Mariners | 5–0 | Mariners | 63.3% | +1.18 | -5 | ✗ |
| Tue Mar 31 | Guardians @ Dodgers | 1–4 | Dodgers | 69.1% | +1.74 | +3 | ✓ |
Score is away–home; predicted and actual run margins are from the home side. Backfilled predictions are walk-forward (out-of-sample), same as live ones.