Games
330
Games
58.2%
Winner accuracy
0.2452
Brier
50.3%
Home win rate
| Date | Matchup | Score | Pick | Win% | Pred margin | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Jul 1 | White Sox @ Orioles | 1–6 | Orioles | 55.1% | +1.20 | +5 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Rangers @ Guardians | 4–9 | Guardians | 52.7% | +0.19 | +5 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Nationals @ Red Sox | 10–2 | Nationals | 50.6% | -1.18 | -8 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Tigers @ Yankees | 6–2 | Yankees | 51.9% | -0.14 | -4 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Padres @ Cubs | 3–23 | Cubs | 50.5% | -0.71 | +20 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Mets @ Blue Jays | 3–9 | Blue Jays | 55.2% | +1.22 | +6 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Pirates @ Phillies | 6–10 | Phillies | 56.9% | +1.94 | +4 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Cardinals @ Braves | 1–5 | Braves | 51.6% | -0.28 | +4 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Rays @ Royals | 4–0 | Royals | 52.4% | +0.05 | -4 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Twins @ Astros | 8–3 | Astros | 52.5% | +0.12 | -5 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Reds @ Brewers | 2–4 | Brewers | 55.2% | +1.23 | +2 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Marlins @ Rockies | 3–6 | Marlins | 54.2% | -2.69 | +3 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Dodgers @ Athletics | 1–7 | Dodgers | 54.7% | -2.88 | +6 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 1 | Giants @ Diamondbacks | 6–4 | Diamondbacks | 51.7% | -0.21 | -2 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Pirates @ Phillies | 6–1 | Phillies | 55.2% | +1.17 | -5 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Reds @ Brewers | 7–2 | Brewers | 55.9% | +1.47 | -5 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Marlins @ Rockies | 4–14 | Marlins | 52.1% | -1.86 | +10 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 2 | White Sox @ Guardians | 5–6 | Guardians | 50.6% | -0.76 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Cardinals @ Braves | 11–5 | Braves | 53.7% | +0.54 | -6 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Rays @ Royals | 5–2 | Royals | 52.2% | -0.07 | -3 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Tigers @ Rangers | 4–10 | Rangers | 53.9% | +0.61 | +6 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Angels @ Mariners | 0–1 | Mariners | 53.9% | +0.64 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 2 | Padres @ Dodgers | 7–12 | Dodgers | 51.3% | -0.46 | +5 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Cardinals @ Cubs | 17–1 | Cubs | 50.6% | -0.80 | -16 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Pirates @ Nationals | 5–9 | Nationals | 52.0% | -0.19 | +4 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Twins @ Yankees | 2–5 | Yankees | 55.1% | +1.19 | +3 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Orioles @ Reds | 3–0 | Reds | 52.3% | -0.06 | -3 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 3 | White Sox @ Guardians | 3–4 | Guardians | 54.2% | +0.79 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Mets @ Braves | 3–5 | Braves | 54.9% | +1.08 | +2 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Giants @ Rockies | 3–15 | Giants | 50.1% | -1.07 | +12 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Rays @ Astros | 3–1 | Astros | 51.0% | -0.63 | -2 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Red Sox @ Angels | 5–2 | Angels | 50.8% | -0.71 | -3 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Marlins @ Athletics | 12–5 | Marlins | 51.3% | -1.62 | -7 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Brewers @ Diamondbacks | 7–4 | Brewers | 50.0% | -1.06 | -3 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Padres @ Dodgers | 3–4 | Dodgers | 56.1% | +1.61 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 3 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 2–0 | Mariners | 50.4% | -0.87 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Pirates @ Nationals | 7–1 | Nationals | 51.4% | -0.41 | -6 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Twins @ Yankees | 11–4 | Yankees | 54.2% | +0.75 | -7 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Tigers @ Rangers | 3–0 | Rangers | 54.2% | +0.74 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0–11 | Mariners | 56.5% | +1.69 | +11 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Orioles @ Reds | 8–5 | Orioles | 51.2% | -1.44 | -3 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Rays @ Astros | 8–10 | Astros | 53.2% | +0.33 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 4 | White Sox @ Guardians | 3–1 | Guardians | 55.8% | +1.43 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Cardinals @ Cubs | 3–0 | Cubs | 51.6% | -0.29 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Mets @ Braves | 3–14 | Braves | 59.6% | +3.00 | +11 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Giants @ Rockies | 6–4 | Giants | 52.0% | -1.76 | -2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Phillies @ Royals | 6–1 | Royals | 54.0% | +0.69 | -5 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Red Sox @ Angels | 8–1 | Red Sox | 51.3% | -1.48 | -7 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Marlins @ Athletics | 7–2 | Athletics | 51.4% | -0.40 | -5 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Brewers @ Diamondbacks | 3–4 | Brewers | 51.6% | -1.60 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 4 | Padres @ Dodgers | 0–3 | Dodgers | 57.6% | +2.18 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Mets @ Braves | 10–9 | Braves | 55.7% | +1.40 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Pirates @ Nationals | 11–5 | Nationals | 50.9% | -0.49 | -6 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Orioles @ Reds | 2–3 | Reds | 50.2% | -0.76 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Twins @ Yankees | 6–1 | Yankees | 53.3% | +0.48 | -5 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | White Sox @ Guardians | 7–6 | Guardians | 52.0% | -0.05 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Cardinals @ Cubs | 4–6 | Cubs | 53.3% | +0.45 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Phillies @ Royals | 2–5 | Royals | 54.5% | +0.96 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Rays @ Astros | 0–2 | Astros | 53.8% | +0.67 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Tigers @ Rangers | 6–3 | Tigers | 50.5% | -1.02 | -3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Giants @ Rockies | 6–7 | Giants | 55.7% | -3.07 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Brewers @ Diamondbacks | 3–2 | Diamondbacks | 54.1% | +0.79 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Marlins @ Athletics | 9–8 | Athletics | 52.2% | +0.01 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0–4 | Mariners | 53.5% | +0.53 | +4 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Padres @ Dodgers | 5–2 | Dodgers | 53.5% | +0.56 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 5 | Red Sox @ Angels | 7–5 | Red Sox | 51.2% | -1.29 | -2 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Phillies @ Royals | 1–15 | Phillies | 53.6% | -2.20 | +14 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Yankees @ Rays | 5–1 | Yankees | 50.5% | -1.00 | -4 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Astros @ Nationals | 11–12 | Astros | 50.7% | -1.06 | +1 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Mets @ Braves | 7–6 | Braves | 57.0% | +2.01 | -1 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Brewers @ Cardinals | 4–3 | Brewers | 51.1% | -1.23 | -1 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Diamondbacks @ Padres | 8–0 | Padres | 51.4% | -0.22 | -8 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Blue Jays @ Giants | 1–10 | Giants | 50.1% | -0.76 | +9 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 6 | Rockies @ Dodgers | 7–8 | Dodgers | 56.0% | +1.63 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Brewers @ Cardinals | 10–2 | Brewers | 51.0% | -1.19 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Cubs @ Orioles | 5–2 | Orioles | 52.2% | +0.10 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Athletics @ Tigers | 2–6 | Tigers | 50.6% | -0.56 | +4 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Braves @ Pirates | 4–12 | Pirates | 51.5% | -0.19 | +8 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Mariners @ Marlins | 5–6 | Marlins | 56.5% | +1.85 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Yankees @ Rays | 4–6 | Rays | 54.5% | +1.04 | +2 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Astros @ Nationals | 6–3 | Nationals | 52.7% | +0.29 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Royals @ Mets | 16–12 | Mets | 55.1% | +1.26 | -4 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Phillies @ Reds | 4–1 | Phillies | 52.0% | -1.60 | -3 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Guardians @ Twins | 1–3 | Twins | 52.3% | +0.14 | +2 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Red Sox @ White Sox | 8–1 | White Sox | 52.2% | +0.09 | -7 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Angels @ Rangers | 3–8 | Rangers | 53.9% | +0.77 | +5 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Diamondbacks @ Padres | 1–4 | Padres | 53.9% | +0.80 | +3 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Blue Jays @ Giants | 9–3 | Giants | 55.2% | +1.33 | -6 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 7 | Rockies @ Dodgers | 4–3 | Dodgers | 57.1% | +2.10 | -1 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Blue Jays @ Giants | 10–0 | Blue Jays | 50.6% | -0.97 | -10 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Cubs @ Orioles | 9–7 | Orioles | 52.9% | +0.42 | -2 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Athletics @ Tigers | 1–6 | Tigers | 58.5% | +2.69 | +5 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Braves @ Pirates | 3–0 | Braves | 51.9% | -1.51 | -3 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Mariners @ Marlins | 0–2 | Marlins | 55.2% | +1.34 | +2 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Yankees @ Rays | 0–3 | Yankees | 50.7% | -1.02 | +3 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Astros @ Nationals | 2–8 | Nationals | 50.2% | -0.68 | +6 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Royals @ Mets | 2–6 | Mets | 62.4% | +4.32 | +4 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Phillies @ Reds | 5–11 | Reds | 55.0% | +1.25 | +6 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Guardians @ Twins | 5–6 | Twins | 50.4% | -0.57 | +1 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Red Sox @ White Sox | 5–0 | White Sox | 54.8% | +1.17 | -5 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Brewers @ Cardinals | 1–5 | Brewers | 52.3% | -1.67 | +4 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Angels @ Rangers | 13–1 | Rangers | 50.5% | -0.55 | -12 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Rockies @ Dodgers | 3–4 | Dodgers | 52.6% | +0.28 | +1 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 8 | Diamondbacks @ Padres | 4–10 | Padres | 53.9% | +0.80 | +6 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Braves @ Pirates | 10–5 | Pirates | 51.2% | -0.31 | -5 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Royals @ Mets | 3–7 | Royals | 51.2% | -1.23 | +4 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Yankees @ Rays | 12–4 | Yankees | 50.3% | -0.90 | -8 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Cubs @ Orioles | 2–3 | Orioles | 53.6% | +0.62 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Guardians @ Twins | 5–2 | Twins | 50.4% | -0.63 | -3 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Red Sox @ White Sox | 2–1 | White Sox | 52.4% | +0.13 | -1 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Athletics @ Tigers | 1–4 | Tigers | 51.5% | -0.20 | +3 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Mariners @ Marlins | 4–8 | Marlins | 53.0% | +0.38 | +4 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Phillies @ Reds | 1–0 | Phillies | 51.1% | -1.19 | -1 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Brewers @ Cardinals | 8–4 | Brewers | 53.1% | -1.98 | -4 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Angels @ Rangers | 6–7 | Rangers | 51.9% | -0.03 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Diamondbacks @ Padres | 3–1 | Padres | 54.1% | +0.82 | -2 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 9 | Rockies @ Giants | 2–8 | Giants | 50.8% | -0.49 | +6 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Phillies @ Tigers | 2–10 | Tigers | 54.6% | +1.01 | +8 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Yankees @ Nationals | 5–3 | Yankees | 52.4% | -1.66 | -2 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Royals @ Orioles | 3–5 | Orioles | 57.1% | +1.98 | +2 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Cubs @ Reds | 0–4 | Cubs | 53.3% | -2.01 | +4 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Mariners @ Rays | 2–7 | Rays | 58.6% | +2.54 | +5 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Guardians @ Marlins | 3–2 | Marlins | 53.7% | +0.65 | -1 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Red Sox @ Mets | 6–2 | Red Sox | 51.8% | -1.42 | -4 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Athletics @ White Sox | 1–14 | White Sox | 56.6% | +1.77 | +13 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Astros @ Rangers | 3–7 | Rangers | 50.6% | -0.53 | +4 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Angels @ Twins | 4–3 | Twins | 56.3% | +1.67 | -1 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Braves @ Cardinals | 1–2 | Braves | 55.0% | -2.63 | +1 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Blue Jays @ Padres | 5–3 | Padres | 55.3% | +1.27 | -2 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Diamondbacks @ Dodgers | 9–3 | Dodgers | 52.1% | +0.07 | -6 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 10 | Rockies @ Giants | 4–3 | Giants | 60.3% | +3.21 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Brewers @ Pirates | 2–3 | Pirates | 50.6% | -0.50 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Angels @ Twins | 3–5 | Twins | 54.3% | +0.91 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Athletics @ White Sox | 0–1 | White Sox | 52.7% | +0.30 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Rockies @ Giants | 2–4 | Giants | 54.0% | +0.79 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Yankees @ Nationals | 4–2 | Yankees | 54.3% | -2.43 | -2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Red Sox @ Mets | 4–0 | Red Sox | 51.8% | -1.44 | -4 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Mariners @ Rays | 1–6 | Rays | 52.5% | +0.22 | +5 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Guardians @ Marlins | 4–1 | Marlins | 56.1% | +1.62 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Phillies @ Tigers | 4–2 | Tigers | 54.4% | +0.95 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Royals @ Orioles | 1–6 | Orioles | 57.5% | +2.20 | +5 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Astros @ Rangers | 9–3 | Astros | 50.9% | -1.09 | -6 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Cubs @ Reds | 5–3 | Cubs | 51.8% | -1.45 | -2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Braves @ Cardinals | 1–4 | Braves | 55.0% | -2.72 | +3 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Blue Jays @ Padres | 7–8 | Blue Jays | 50.1% | -0.80 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 11 | Diamondbacks @ Dodgers | 9–2 | Dodgers | 55.8% | +1.50 | -7 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Brewers @ Pirates | 5–14 | Brewers | 50.4% | -0.92 | +9 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Royals @ Orioles | 2–8 | Orioles | 57.7% | +2.24 | +6 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Yankees @ Nationals | 5–3 | Yankees | 51.3% | -1.27 | -2 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Cubs @ Reds | 8–4 | Reds | 50.3% | -0.64 | -4 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Red Sox @ Mets | 3–2 | Red Sox | 51.0% | -1.17 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Mariners @ Rays | 8–2 | Rays | 57.0% | +1.97 | -6 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Phillies @ Tigers | 5–0 | Tigers | 53.2% | +0.45 | -5 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Guardians @ Marlins | 5–2 | Marlins | 55.1% | +1.19 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Angels @ Twins | 2–4 | Twins | 53.9% | +0.74 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Athletics @ White Sox | 1–9 | Athletics | 51.3% | -1.27 | +8 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Braves @ Cardinals | 4–3 | Braves | 52.5% | -1.74 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Astros @ Rangers | 5–6 | Rangers | 55.4% | +1.33 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Rockies @ Giants | 1–3 | Giants | 52.0% | -0.01 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Diamondbacks @ Dodgers | 5–3 | Dodgers | 51.1% | -0.36 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 12 | Blue Jays @ Padres | 4–5 | Padres | 53.2% | +0.48 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 16 | Mets @ Phillies | 4–1 | Mets | 50.3% | -0.87 | -3 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Rays @ Red Sox | 3–5 | Red Sox | 53.4% | +0.56 | +10 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Dodgers @ Yankees | 2–1 | Yankees | 50.8% | -0.43 | -1 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Rangers @ Braves | 1–15 | Braves | 57.0% | +1.94 | +14 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | White Sox @ Blue Jays | 12–4 | Blue Jays | 50.8% | -0.41 | -8 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Marlins @ Brewers | 1–2 | Brewers | 58.7% | +2.63 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Twins @ Cubs | 5–2 | Cubs | 54.1% | +0.83 | -3 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Orioles @ Astros | 3–2 | Astros | 54.8% | +1.09 | -1 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Padres @ Royals | 6–7 | Royals | 50.1% | -0.67 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Reds @ Rockies | 7–2 | Rockies | 52.3% | +0.16 | -5 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Tigers @ Angels | 2–1 | Tigers | 51.7% | -1.36 | -1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Nationals @ Athletics | 23–4 | Nationals | 50.9% | -1.05 | -19 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Cardinals @ Diamondbacks | 5–4 | Cardinals | 52.7% | -1.73 | -1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 17 | Giants @ Mariners | 7–0 | Mariners | 57.9% | +2.30 | -7 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Pirates @ Guardians | 3–5 | Pirates | 52.1% | -1.41 | -6 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Twins @ Cubs | 2–6 | Cubs | 51.8% | +0.01 | +4 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Mets @ Phillies | 1–6 | Phillies | 57.4% | +2.12 | +5 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | White Sox @ Blue Jays | 0–1 | White Sox | 53.4% | -1.89 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Reds @ Rockies | 3–10 | Rockies | 54.4% | +1.01 | +7 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Orioles @ Astros | 4–2 | Astros | 54.3% | +0.96 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Padres @ Royals | 1–6 | Royals | 52.9% | +0.45 | +5 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Cardinals @ Diamondbacks | 3–5 | Diamondbacks | 51.9% | +0.06 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Rays @ Red Sox | 6–7 | Red Sox | 52.0% | +0.10 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Rangers @ Braves | 7–6 | Braves | 56.6% | +1.81 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Marlins @ Brewers | 6–8 | Brewers | 54.5% | +1.04 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Giants @ Mariners | 3–4 | Mariners | 54.5% | +1.04 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Nationals @ Athletics | 1–15 | Nationals | 52.5% | -1.56 | +14 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 18 | Tigers @ Angels | 7–0 | Tigers | 53.4% | -1.88 | -7 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Dodgers @ Yankees | 1–2 | Dodgers | 55.7% | -2.82 | -6 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | White Sox @ Blue Jays | 3–0 | Blue Jays | 52.7% | +0.28 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Rays @ Red Sox | 1–6 | Red Sox | 54.1% | +0.79 | +5 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Mets @ Phillies | 6–1 | Mets | 50.3% | -0.82 | -5 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Rangers @ Braves | 5–8 | Braves | 56.5% | +1.71 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Pirates @ Guardians | 7–1 | Guardians | 53.5% | +0.57 | -6 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Orioles @ Astros | 5–2 | Orioles | 50.6% | -0.96 | -3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Padres @ Royals | 19–2 | Royals | 51.8% | -0.05 | -17 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Marlins @ Brewers | 1–3 | Brewers | 55.0% | +1.15 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Twins @ Cubs | 1–10 | Cubs | 53.1% | +0.44 | +9 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Reds @ Rockies | 9–6 | Rockies | 50.2% | -0.65 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Nationals @ Athletics | 5–2 | Nationals | 61.2% | -4.94 | -3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Tigers @ Angels | 2–3 | Tigers | 52.0% | -1.45 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Giants @ Mariners | 3–6 | Mariners | 54.6% | +0.99 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 19 | Cardinals @ Diamondbacks | 7–8 | Diamondbacks | 52.7% | +0.27 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Twins @ Guardians | 4–13 | Twins | 50.5% | -0.88 | +9 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Pirates @ Yankees | 5–8 | Yankees | 51.3% | -0.23 | +3 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Rays @ Blue Jays | 7–1 | Blue Jays | 51.8% | -0.04 | -6 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Orioles @ Red Sox | 5–6 | Red Sox | 52.1% | +0.04 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Dodgers @ Phillies | 7–10 | Phillies | 50.5% | -0.52 | +3 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Padres @ Braves | 2–3 | Braves | 55.2% | +1.15 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Giants @ Royals | 3–4 | Royals | 55.2% | +1.17 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Mets @ Brewers | 3–8 | Brewers | 60.7% | +3.16 | +5 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Tigers @ Cubs | 8–6 | Cubs | 56.8% | +1.72 | -2 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 20 | White Sox @ Rangers | 10–3 | Rangers | 54.6% | +0.95 | -7 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Marlins @ Astros | 5–8 | Astros | 50.6% | -0.47 | +3 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Nationals @ Rockies | 7–3 | Nationals | 57.7% | -3.42 | -4 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Athletics @ Diamondbacks | 5–2 | Diamondbacks | 57.8% | +2.10 | -3 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Reds @ Mariners | 0–8 | Mariners | 54.5% | +0.89 | +8 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 20 | Cardinals @ Angels | 2–3 | Cardinals | 53.5% | -1.95 | +1 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Twins @ Guardians | 2–5 | Guardians | 56.9% | +1.73 | +3 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Dodgers @ Phillies | 2–1 | Dodgers | 51.7% | -1.37 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Rays @ Blue Jays | 12–2 | Blue Jays | 52.3% | +0.07 | -10 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Padres @ Braves | 8–3 | Braves | 57.6% | +1.97 | -5 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Giants @ Royals | 2–3 | Royals | 55.5% | +1.21 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Mets @ Brewers | 4–0 | Brewers | 57.7% | +2.01 | -4 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Tigers @ Cubs | 2–11 | Cubs | 51.7% | -0.14 | +9 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | White Sox @ Rangers | 0–10 | Rangers | 52.5% | +0.14 | +10 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Marlins @ Astros | 3–5 | Astros | 50.7% | -0.48 | +2 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Nationals @ Rockies | 7–8 | Nationals | 52.8% | -1.75 | +1 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Cardinals @ Angels | 1–5 | Angels | 52.8% | +0.26 | +4 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Athletics @ Diamondbacks | 5–6 | Diamondbacks | 54.7% | +0.92 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 21 | Reds @ Mariners | 4–2 | Reds | 51.3% | -1.22 | -2 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Pirates @ Yankees | 5–3 | Yankees | 55.3% | +1.11 | +2 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Orioles @ Red Sox | 5–1 | Red Sox | 55.5% | +1.22 | +3 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Giants @ Royals | 4–5 | Royals | 52.7% | +0.20 | +1 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Mets @ Brewers | 3–4 | Brewers | 58.1% | +2.16 | +1 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Nationals @ Rockies | 8–0 | Nationals | 53.2% | -1.92 | -8 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Athletics @ Diamondbacks | 5–15 | Diamondbacks | 51.5% | -0.23 | +10 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Reds @ Mariners | 5–3 | Mariners | 56.2% | +1.44 | -2 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Cardinals @ Angels | 1–0 | Angels | 51.0% | -0.44 | -1 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Twins @ Guardians | 10–6 | Guardians | 54.6% | +0.89 | -4 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Dodgers @ Phillies | 9–5 | Dodgers | 55.1% | -2.60 | -4 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Rays @ Blue Jays | 4–2 | Blue Jays | 53.2% | +0.38 | -2 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Padres @ Braves | 6–7 | Braves | 55.1% | +1.04 | +1 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 22 | White Sox @ Rangers | 4–2 | Rangers | 55.0% | +1.02 | -2 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Tigers @ Cubs | 5–1 | Cubs | 53.7% | +0.54 | -4 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 22 | Marlins @ Astros | 2–5 | Astros | 53.8% | +0.59 | +3 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 23 | Diamondbacks @ Cardinals | 10–6 | Diamondbacks | 50.1% | -0.74 | -4 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 23 | Padres @ Braves | 5–6 | Braves | 63.9% | +4.33 | +1 | ✓ |
| Thu Jul 23 | Twins @ Guardians | 3–1 | Guardians | 53.0% | +0.33 | -2 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 23 | Rays @ Blue Jays | 1–3 | Rays | 52.3% | -1.54 | +2 | ✗ |
| Thu Jul 23 | Royals @ Tigers | 3–4 | Tigers | 59.5% | +2.67 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Rockies @ Brewers | 5–2 | Brewers | 53.2% | +0.41 | -3 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Royals @ Tigers | 1–2 | Tigers | 60.9% | +3.14 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Cubs @ Pirates | 3–2 | Pirates | 51.1% | -0.32 | -1 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Diamondbacks @ Nationals | 3–2 | Diamondbacks | 53.9% | -2.06 | -1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Yankees @ Phillies | 1–0 | Yankees | 52.4% | -1.53 | -1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Braves @ Orioles | 7–6 | Braves | 52.3% | -1.49 | -1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Dodgers @ Mets | 4–2 | Dodgers | 57.3% | -3.24 | -2 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Guardians @ Rays | 3–11 | Rays | 53.0% | +0.34 | +8 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Padres @ Marlins | 4–2 | Marlins | 52.7% | +0.22 | -2 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Blue Jays @ Red Sox | 4–6 | Red Sox | 52.2% | +0.05 | +2 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Astros @ White Sox | 9–5 | White Sox | 57.5% | +1.91 | -4 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Mariners @ Rangers | 4–5 | Rangers | 50.7% | -0.47 | +1 | ✓ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Athletics @ Twins | 2–0 | Twins | 58.4% | +2.24 | -2 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Reds @ Cardinals | 4–2 | Cardinals | 53.2% | +0.40 | -2 | ✗ |
| Fri Jul 24 | Angels @ Giants | 6–7 | Giants | 52.5% | +0.16 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Royals @ Tigers | 3–2 | Tigers | 57.2% | +1.83 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Diamondbacks @ Nationals | 3–5 | Nationals | 52.4% | +0.17 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Angels @ Giants | 2–9 | Giants | 53.0% | +0.38 | +7 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Blue Jays @ Red Sox | 6–0 | Red Sox | 52.5% | +0.21 | -6 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Padres @ Marlins | 7–2 | Marlins | 53.6% | +0.58 | -5 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Yankees @ Phillies | 3–1 | Yankees | 51.1% | -1.01 | -2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Guardians @ Rays | 0–3 | Rays | 59.3% | +2.55 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Cubs @ Pirates | 11–0 | Cubs | 50.3% | -0.71 | -11 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Braves @ Orioles | 2–3 | Orioles | 54.2% | +0.78 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Athletics @ Twins | 0–2 | Twins | 51.4% | -0.14 | +2 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Astros @ White Sox | 4–1 | White Sox | 55.2% | +1.13 | -3 | ✗ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Rockies @ Brewers | 5–8 | Brewers | 56.5% | +1.59 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Dodgers @ Mets | 4–3 | Dodgers | 57.1% | -3.04 | -1 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Reds @ Cardinals | 0–7 | Cardinals | 51.2% | -0.24 | +7 | ✓ |
| Sat Jul 25 | Mariners @ Rangers | 1–7 | Rangers | 53.7% | +0.61 | +6 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Guardians @ Rays | 0–1 | Rays | 51.7% | -0.05 | +1 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Diamondbacks @ Nationals | 7–10 | Diamondbacks | 52.4% | -1.40 | +3 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Cubs @ Pirates | 7–8 | Cubs | 50.2% | -0.67 | +1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Blue Jays @ Red Sox | 1–6 | Red Sox | 53.4% | +0.51 | +5 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Braves @ Orioles | 3–2 | Orioles | 50.4% | -0.50 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Royals @ Tigers | 5–4 | Tigers | 52.9% | +0.34 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Dodgers @ Mets | 3–8 | Dodgers | 53.5% | -1.77 | +5 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Padres @ Marlins | 5–3 | Marlins | 55.0% | +1.05 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Athletics @ Twins | 8–11 | Twins | 54.1% | +0.74 | +3 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Astros @ White Sox | 3–12 | White Sox | 56.0% | +1.39 | +9 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Rockies @ Brewers | 2–11 | Brewers | 62.7% | +3.66 | +9 | ✓ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Reds @ Cardinals | 5–3 | Cardinals | 52.9% | +0.34 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Mariners @ Rangers | 6–4 | Rangers | 52.5% | +0.23 | -2 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Angels @ Giants | 4–3 | Giants | 52.6% | +0.25 | -1 | ✗ |
| Sun Jul 26 | Yankees @ Phillies | 4–11 | Phillies | 52.0% | +0.06 | +7 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Mariners @ Rangers | 3–7 | Rangers | 50.4% | -0.51 | +4 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Orioles @ Tigers | 8–5 | Tigers | 53.5% | +0.51 | -3 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Diamondbacks @ Pirates | 2–3 | Pirates | 54.6% | +0.89 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Phillies @ Marlins | 7–8 | Marlins | 50.9% | -0.35 | +1 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Blue Jays @ Nationals | 3–2 | Nationals | 56.0% | +1.35 | -1 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Braves @ Mets | 3–14 | Braves | 50.8% | -0.89 | +11 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Yankees @ White Sox | 9–5 | Yankees | 50.4% | -0.78 | -4 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Cubs @ Cardinals | 7–3 | Cubs | 51.2% | -1.05 | -4 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Astros @ Angels | 6–4 | Angels | 52.7% | +0.26 | -2 | ✗ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Red Sox @ Athletics | 4–2 | Red Sox | 56.5% | -2.81 | -2 | ✓ |
| Mon Jul 27 | Brewers @ Giants | 0–3 | Brewers | 50.9% | -0.94 | +3 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Guardians @ Reds | 0–2 | Guardians | 50.8% | -0.90 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Orioles @ Tigers | 0–14 | Tigers | 57.8% | +1.99 | +14 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Diamondbacks @ Pirates | 8–7 | Pirates | 51.5% | -0.13 | -1 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Rangers @ Rays | 4–1 | Rays | 58.5% | +2.20 | -3 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Phillies @ Marlins | 0–1 | Marlins | 57.4% | +1.86 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Blue Jays @ Nationals | 6–8 | Nationals | 51.6% | -0.09 | +2 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Royals @ Twins | 2–3 | Twins | 60.3% | +2.84 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Yankees @ White Sox | 3–2 | White Sox | 50.3% | -0.52 | -1 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Cubs @ Cardinals | 10–2 | Cardinals | 50.5% | -0.46 | -8 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Astros @ Angels | 3–2 | Astros | 51.2% | -1.02 | -1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Red Sox @ Athletics | 3–4 | Red Sox | 58.4% | -3.44 | +1 | ✗ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Rockies @ Padres | 7–8 | Padres | 53.5% | +0.55 | +1 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Brewers @ Giants | 8–2 | Brewers | 55.5% | -2.45 | -6 | ✓ |
| Tue Jul 28 | Mariners @ Dodgers | 7–6 | Dodgers | 59.1% | +2.43 | -1 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Braves @ Mets | 2–3 | Braves | 54.3% | -2.03 | -1 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Phillies @ Marlins | 6–8 | Marlins | 51.8% | -0.03 | +2 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Diamondbacks @ Pirates | 3–0 | Diamondbacks | 50.7% | -0.85 | -3 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Blue Jays @ Nationals | 5–2 | Blue Jays | 51.4% | -1.08 | -3 | ✓ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Orioles @ Tigers | 10–9 | Tigers | 59.5% | +2.56 | -1 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Brewers @ Giants | 3–16 | Brewers | 53.5% | -1.78 | +13 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Rockies @ Padres | 1–3 | Rockies | 51.4% | -1.07 | +2 | ✗ |
| Wed Jul 29 | Rangers @ Rays | 0–3 | Rays | 57.5% | +1.87 | +3 | ✓ |
Score is away–home; predicted and actual run margins are from the home side. Backfilled predictions are walk-forward (out-of-sample), same as live ones.